Gartner Predicts ‘Blockchain Fatigue’ by 2023

Jun 28 | 2019

Blockchain remains a popular topic, but supply chain leaders are failing to find suitable use cases.

Only 19% of respondents in a 2018 survey ranked Blockchain as important for their business.By 2023, 90% of Blockchain-based supply chain initiatives will suffer ‘Blockchain fatigue’ due to a lack of strong use cases, according to Gartner, Inc, a leading research and advisory company.

A Gartner supply chain technology survey of user wants and needs, conducted in 2018, found that only 19% of respondents ranked Blockchain as a very important technology for their business, and only 9% had invested in it. This is mainly because supply chain Blockchain projects are very limited and do not match the initial enthusiasm for the technology’s application.

“Supply chain Blockchain projects have mostly focussed on verifying authenticity, improving traceability and visibility, and improving transactional trust,” said Alex Pradhan, Senior Principal Research Analyst at Gartner. “However, most have remained pilot projects due to a combination of technology immaturity, lack of standards, overly ambitious scope and a misunderstanding of how Blockchain could, or should, actually help the supply chain. Inevitably, this is causing the market to experience Blockchain fatigue.”

The budding nature of Blockchain makes it almost impossible for organisations to identify and target specific high-value use cases. Instead, companies are forced to run multiple development pilots using trial and error to find ones that might provide value. Additionally, the vendor ecosystem has not fully formed and is struggling to establish market dominance. Another challenge is that supply chain organisations cannot buy an off-the-shelf, complete, packaged Blockchain solution.

“Without a vibrant market for commercial Blockchain applications, the majority of companies do not know how to evaluate, assess and benchmark solutions, especially as the market landscape rapidly evolves,” said Ms Pradhan. “Furthermore, current creations offered by solution providers are complicated hybrids of conventional Blockchain technologies. This adds more complexity and confusion, making it that much harder for companies to identify appropriate supply chain use cases.”

As Blockchain continues to develop in supply chains, Gartner recommends that organisations remain cautious about early adoption and not to rush into making Blockchain work in their supply chain until there is a clear distinction between hype and the core capability of Blockchain. “The emphasis should be on proof of concept, experimentation and limited-scope initiatives that deliver lessons, rather than high-cost, high-risk, strategic business value,” said Ms Pradhan.

Photo: Only 19% of respondents in a 2018 survey ranked Blockchain as important for their business.